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    Home » Britain has LOWER Covid excess death rate than Spain, Germany and Italy
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    Britain has LOWER Covid excess death rate than Spain, Germany and Italy

    AdmincryptBy AdmincryptMay 5, 2022No Comments11 Mins Read
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    Britain’s pandemic death rate is lower than most major European nations, according to estimates by the World Health Organization (WHO).

    The UK ranks roughly in the middle of an EU table of excess death rates, coming 15th out of the bloc’s 27 member states, behind Spain, Germany and Italy. 

    There were widely-publicised claims by zealous scientists and MPs — including Sir Keir Starmer — last year that Britain had endured one of the biggest death tolls on the continent. The claim was used by critics as justification for tougher restrictions. 

    But countries were previously judged by Covid death rates alone, which skewed Britain’s tally because it was testing more than anywhere else.

    Excess deaths include fatalities from all causes and it is considered the most consistent way to measure pandemic death tolls because it accounts for a lack of swabbing and undiagnosed cases.

    Out of the 194 countries that the WHO looked at, the UK ranked 54th with a death rate of 109 per 100,000 people, slightly above the global average of 90.

    Spain (111), Germany (116), and Italy (133) all ranked higher, despite remaining in lockdowns for much longer than the UK. The US had the 40th highest excess death rate (140 per 100,000).

    In the most comprehensive look into the pandemic's fatality count yet, the WHO estimated that almost 15million deaths were logged from the start of 2020 to the end of 2021. Peru has logged the most excess deaths in relation to its population, with an extra 437 fatalities for every 100,000 people than expected. The US had the 40th highest excess death rate (140 per 100,000), while the UK came 56th (109 per 100,000)

    In the most comprehensive look into the pandemic’s fatality count yet, the WHO estimated that almost 15million deaths were logged from the start of 2020 to the end of 2021. Peru has logged the most excess deaths in relation to its population, with an extra 437 fatalities for every 100,000 people than expected. The US had the 40th highest excess death rate (140 per 100,000), while the UK came 56th (109 per 100,000)

    HOW DOES UK’S DEATH RATE COMPARE TO EU?

    Excess deaths associated with the Covid pandemic from all-causes per 100,000

    1. Bulgaria 415
    2. Lithuania 319
    3. Romania 279
    4. Slovakia 223
    5. Croatia 210
    6. Poland 208
    7. Latvia 204
    8. Hungary 189
    9. Czechia 173
    10. Slovenia 134
    11. Italy 133
    12. Estonia 127
    13. Germany 116
    14. Spain 111
    15. UK 109
    16. Portugal 100
    17. Greece 93
    18. Netherlands 85
    19. Belgium 77
    20. Austria 66
    21. France 63
    22. Sweden 56
    23. Malta 54
    24. Cyprus 42
    25. Denmark 32
    26. Ireland 29
    27. Finland 26
    28. Luxembourg 6

    In the most comprehensive look into the pandemic’s fatality count yet, the WHO estimated that almost 15million deaths were logged from the start of 2020 to the end of 2021.

    The UN agency’s tally, which misses off the entirety of 2022, includes people who directly died from Covid or the virus’s impact on overwhelmed health systems.

    For comparison, the current official virus death toll is 6.2million, with a third of those logged in the US, Brazil and India.

    The WHO said 20 countries, including the UK and the US, accounted for more than 80 per cent of the estimated ‘excess deaths’ over the first two years of the pandemic.

    Peru has logged the most excess deaths in relation to its population, with an extra 437 fatalities for every 100,000 people than expected. 

    WHO director general Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said that the ‘sobering’ figures should prompt nations to invest in more resilient health systems to quell future crises

    WHO scientists estimated the global Covid death toll between January 2020 and January 2022 by calculating the difference between the number of deaths that have occurred and the number of deaths that were expected, based on data from previous years. 

    They estimated there were 14.9million deaths that could be attributed to Covid, but the figure could be as high as 16.6 million.

    And more than 80 per cent of Covid deaths were logged in just 20 countries, including the UK and US, as well as Brazil, Colombia, Egypt, Germany and India.

    The vast majority of the fatalities (84 per cent) occurred in South-East Asia (5.9million), Europe (3.3million) and the Americas (3.23million), followed by Africa (1.3million), Eastern-Mediterranean (1.1million) and the Western Pacific (0.1million). 

    Peru had the highest excess death rate per 100,000 people (437), followed by Bulgaria (415), Bolivia (375), North Macedonia (369) and Russia (367).

    The US had came 40th out of the 194 countries the WHO looked at, with 140 excess deaths per 100,000 people, while the UK came 56th (109 per 100,000). 

    Its analysis also confirms that more men were struck down by Covid than women, with 57 per cent of virus deaths among men.

    The figures include those who died from Covid, as well as those who died due to the pandemic’s impact on health systems, such as deaths among people with cancer who were unable to seek treatment because hospitals were full of virus patients.

    The WHO there could be even more Covid deaths because some fatalities were averted during the pandemic, such as fewer deaths in road accidents or in work during lockdowns. 

    Experts have long warned the true virus death toll will be many times higher than the reported figures due to limited testing and difficulties attributing the cause of death to the virus, as many fatalities will involve other underlying conditions.

    And it is difficult to compare figures between countries because some nations only count deaths that occurred in hospitals.

    Only 6.2million official Covid deaths have been confirmed worldwide, according to Oxford University-based platform Our World in Data.

    This data shows the US has the highest death toll, while the UK has the seventh-highest.

    Dr Albert Ko, an infectious diseases expert at the Yale School of Public Health, said the WHO analysis ‘may seem like just a bean-counting exercise’.

    ‘But having these WHO numbers is so critical to understanding how we should combat future pandemics and continue to respond to this one,’ he said.

    The WHO graphs show the difference between reported deaths and excess mortality per region. The shaded grey areas show the number of deaths reported to the WHO by countries, while the red lines indicated the estimated excess death rate (the additional people who have died more than the expected number of deaths). Where the red line dips below zero, it indicates that less people died than expected due to pandemic-related changes in behaviour and society. The red numbers in the top right corner of each graph show the total excess mortality from January 1 2020 to December 31 2021

    The WHO graphs show the difference between reported deaths and excess mortality per region. The shaded grey areas show the number of deaths reported to the WHO by countries, while the red lines indicated the estimated excess death rate (the additional people who have died more than the expected number of deaths). Where the red line dips below zero, it indicates that less people died than expected due to pandemic-related changes in behaviour and society. The red numbers in the top right corner of each graph show the total excess mortality from January 1 2020 to December 31 2021

    The WHO charts show the difference in reported deaths (shaded grey areas) and excess morality (red lines) when countries are split into World Bank income groups. The red numbers in the top right corner of each graph show the total excess mortality from January 1 2020 to December 31 2021

    The WHO charts show the difference in reported deaths (shaded grey areas) and excess morality (red lines) when countries are split into World Bank income groups. The red numbers in the top right corner of each graph show the total excess mortality from January 1 2020 to December 31 2021

    The WHO findings come after US scientists estimated there were more than 18million Covid deaths from January 2020 to December 2021.

    Separate researchers by a team of Canadian researchers estimated there were more than 3million uncounted Covid deaths in India alone.

    WHERE HAVE THE MOST CONFIRMED COVID DEATHS BEEN LOGGED? 

    HIGHEST DEATH TOLL

    US: 996,704

    Brazil: 663,994

    India: 523,975

    Russia: 368,840

    Mexico: 324,334

    Peru: 212,891

    UK: 175,717

    Italy: 164,041

    Indonesia: 156,321

    France: 146,445

    HIGHEST DEATH TOLL RELATIVE TO POPULATION (per million people)

    Peru: 6,381.74

    Bulgaria: 5,358.1

    Bosnia and Herzegovina: 4,831.68

    Hungary: 4,802.29

    North Macedonia: 4,457.28

    Montenegro: 4,324.49

    Georgia: 4,224.11

    Croatia: 3,884.7

    Czechia: 3,747.85

    Slovakia: 3,659.76

    Source: Our World in Data 

    Some countries, including India, have disputed WHO’s methodology for calculating Covid deaths, resisting the idea that there were many more deaths than officially counted. 

    Earlier this week, the Indian Government revealed the country logged 474,806 more deaths in 2020 compared to the previous year, but did not say how many were due to the pandemic. 

    India did not release any death estimates for 2021, when the highly infectious delta variant swept through the country, killing many thousands.

    Dr Ko said the WHO’s figures may explain some ongoing mysteries about the pandemic, including why Africa appears to have been one of the countries least affected by the virus, despite its low vaccination rates. 

    ‘Were the mortality rates so low because we couldn’t count the deaths or was there some other factor to explain that?’ he said.

    Dr Ko noted that high death rates in the UK and US proved resources alone were insufficient to contain a global outbreak.

    Dr Bharat Pankhania, a public health expert at the University of Exeter, said it may be impossible to calculate the true Covid death toll, especially for poor countries

    He said: ‘When you have a massive outbreak where people are dying in the streets because of a lack of oxygen, bodies were abandoned or people had to be cremated quickly because of cultural beliefs, we end up never knowing just how many people died.’

    Dr Pankhania noted the currently estimated Covid death toll is still a fraction of the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic – when experts estimate up to 100million people died.

    But he said it is ‘shameful’ that so many people died due to the coronavirus pandemic, despite significant advancements in modern medicine.

    Dr Pankhania warned the cost of Covid could be far more damaging in the long term, given the increasing burden of long Covid.

    He said: ‘With the Spanish flu, there was the flu and then there were some (lung) illnesses people suffered, but that was it. ‘here was not an enduring immunological condition that we’re seeing right now with Covid.

    ‘We do not know the extent to which people with long Covid will have their lives cut short and if they will have repeated infections that will cause them even more problems.’

    Dr Jeremy Farrar, director of scientific charity the Wellcome Trust, said: ‘There can be no hiding from the fact this devastating death toll was not inevitable; or that there have been too many times in the past two years when world leaders have failed to act at the level needed to save lives.’

    He noted that a third of the world’s population is still unvaccinated and ‘more must be done’ to protect people from Covid and future pandemics.

    ‘Climate change, shifting patterns of animal and human interaction, urbanisation and increasing travel and trade are creating more opportunities for new and dangerous infectious disease risks to emerge, amplify and then spread,’ Dr Farrar said.

    He called on world leaders to ‘learn from this crisis and act immediately to end this pandemic, and make sure they do everything they can to prevent this ever happening again’. 

    Dr Farrar said global surveillance networks must be built and sustained to detect outbreaks before they escalate, while national and global health professionals must be supported to respond quickly at the start of an outbreak.

    And vaccine, testing and treatment capacity must be equally distributed worldwide, he added. 

    EXCESS DEATHS IN 2020 AND 2021 DUE TO THE PANDEMIC PER 100,000 IN EACH COUNTRY 
    Country Excess deaths associated with the Covid pandemic from all-causes per 100,000
    Afghanistan 57
    Albania 221
    Algeria 79
    Andorra 242
    Angola 34
    Antigua and Barbuda -15
    Argentina 99
    Armenia 332
    Australia -28
    Austria 66
    Azerbaijan 280
    Bahamas 127
    Bahrain 19
    Bangladesh 43
    Barbados -62
    Belarus 259
    Belgium 77
    Belize 87
    Benin 48
    Bhutan -26
    Bolivia (Plurinational State of) 375
    Bosnia and Herzegovina 240
    Botswana 156
    Brazil 160
    Brunei Darussalam -13
    Bulgaria 415
    Burkina Faso 52
    Burundi 39
    Cabo Verde 83
    Cambodia 37
    Cameroon 66
    Canada 29
    Central African Republic 64
    Chad 58
    Chile 101
    China -2
    Colombia 161
    Comoros 41
    Congo 41
    Cook Islands -102
    Costa Rica 94
    Côte d’Ivoire 48
    Croatia 210
    Cuba 80
    Cyprus 42
    Czechia 173
    Democratic People’s Republic of Korea -14
    Democratic Republic of the Congo 65
    Denmark 32
    Djibouti 89
    Dominica 10
    Dominican Republic 54
    Ecuador 228
    Egypt 122
    El Salvador 131
    Equatorial Guinea 60
    Eritrea 34
    Estonia 127
    Eswatini 164
    Ethiopia 44
    Fiji -6
    Finland 26
    France 63
    Gabon 36
    Gambia 59
    Georgia 307
    Germany 116
    Ghana 33
    Greece 93
    Grenada -118
    Guatemala 137
    Guinea 47
    Guinea-Bissau 71
    Guyana 178
    Haiti 42
    Honduras 113
    Hungary 189
    Iceland -2
    India 171
    Indonesia 187
    Iran (Islamic Republic of) 137
    Iraq 82
    Ireland 29
    Israel 35
    Italy 133
    Jamaica 61
    Japan -8
    Jordan 58
    Kazakhstan 202
    Kenya 11
    Kiribati -19
    Kuwait 49
    Kyrgyzstan 94
    Lao People’s Democratic Republic 12
    Latvia 204
    Lebanon 136
    Lesotho 93
    Liberia 39
    Libya 57
    Lithuania 319
    Luxembourg 6
    Madagascar 46
    Malawi 44
    Malaysia 12
    Maldives 23
    Mali 66
    Malta 54
    Marshall Islands -67
    Mauritania 74
    Mauritius 37
    Mexico 242
    Micronesia (Federated States of) -48
    Monaco 81
    Mongolia 0
    Montenegro 311
    Morocco 47
    Mozambique 67
    Myanmar 40
    Namibia 151
    Nauru -7
    Nepal 55
    Netherlands 85
    New Zealand -28
    Nicaragua 91
    Niger 70
    Nigeria 45
    Niue -154
    North Macedonia 369
    Norway -1
    Oman 111
    Pakistan 52
    Palau -111
    Panama 88
    Papua New Guinea 4
    Paraguay 138
    Peru 437
    Philippines 84
    Poland 208
    Portugal 100
    Qatar 26
    Republic of Korea 6
    Republic of Moldova 225
    Romania 279
    Russian Federation 367
    Rwanda 21
    Saint Kitts and Nevis -194
    Saint Lucia 101
    Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 222
    Samoa -22
    San Marino 251
    Sao Tome and Principe 43
    Saudi Arabia 25
    Senegal 49
    Serbia 319
    Seychelles 4
    Sierra Leone 49
    Singapore 13
    Slovakia 223
    Slovenia 134
    Solomon Islands -4
    Somalia 110
    South Africa 200
    South Sudan 41
    Spain 111
    Sri Lanka -21
    Sudan 43
    Suriname 62
    Sweden 56
    Switzerland 47
    Syrian Arab Republic 20
    Tajikistan 67
    Thailand 11
    The United Kingdom 109
    Timor-Leste 26
    Togo -42
    Tonga -17
    Trinidad and Tobago 72
    Tunisia 100
    Turkey 156
    Turkmenistan 5
    Tuvalu -46
    Uganda 22
    Ukraine 227
    United Arab Emirates 12
    United Republic of Tanzania 33
    United States of America 140
    Uruguay 45
    Uzbekistan 67
    Vanuatu -12
    Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 39
    Viet Nam -3
    Yemen 56
    Zambia 63
    Zimbabwe 62



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